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February 2014

Time
Event
Previous
Forecast
Actual
Sat 1 Feb
*** Lunar New Year''s Day
 
 
 
Sun 2 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Mon 3 Feb
*** Lunar New Year''s Day
 
 
 
6:30 AiG Performance of Mfg Index
47.6
 
46.7
8:30 Building Approvals[month-on-month(MoM)]
-1.5%
-0.5%
-2.9%
8:30 Building Approvals[year-on-year(YoY)]
+22.2%
+23.4%
+21.8%
8:30 ANZ Job Advertisements[month-on-month(MoM)]
-0.7%
 
-0.3%
23:00 ISM Manufacturing
57.0
56.0
51.3
23:00 ISM Prices Paid
53.5
54.0
60.5
23:00 Construction Output[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.0%
0.0%
+0.1%
Tue 4 Feb
8:00 ANZ Commodity Price[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.0%
 
+1.2%
11:30 RBA Interest Rate Decision
2.50%
2.50%
2.50%
16:30 Retail Sales - Value[year-on-year(YoY)]
+8.5%
+7.2%
+5.7%
23:00 IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
45.2
44.5
44.9
23:00 Factory Orders[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.8%
-1.8%
-1.5%
Wed 5 Feb
5:45 Employed labor force[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.2%
+0.6%
+1.1%
5:45 Employed labor force[year-on-year(YoY)]
+2.4%
+2.4%
+3.0%
5:45 Unemployment Rate
6.2%
6.0%
6.0%
5:45 Participation Rate
68.6%
68.6%
68.9%
5:45 Private Wages Inc Overtime[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+0.4%
+0.5%
+0.6%
5:45 Private Wages Exc Overtime[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+0.4%
+0.5%
+0.6%
5:45 Average Hourly Earnings[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.6%
+0.1%
+0.3%
6:30 AiG Performance of Service Index
46.1
 
49.3
20:00 MBA Mortgage Applications[week-over-week]
-0.2%
 
+0.4%
21:15 ADP Employment Change
+238
+185
+175
23:00 ISM Non-Manf. Composite
53.0
53.7
54.0
Thu 6 Feb
*** Waitangi Day
 
 
 
8:30 Trade Balance
A$ -0.118B
A$ -0.200B
A$ +0.468B
8:30 Retail Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.7%
+0.5%
+0.5%
8:30 Retail Sales Ex Inflation[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+0.7%
+1.2%
+0.9%
8:30 NAB Business Confidence
+3
 
+8
10:30 Purchasing Managers Index
51.2
 
52.7
20:30 RBC Consumer Outlook Index
51.5
 
50.4
20:30 Challenger Job Cuts[year-on-year(YoY)]
-5.9%
 
+11.6%
21:30 Trade Balance
$ -34.3B
$ -36.0B
$ -38.7B
21:30 Nonfarm Productivity[quarter on quarter annualized rate]
+3.0%
+2.8%
+3.2%
21:30 Unit Labor Costs[quarter on quarter annualized rate]
-1.4%
-0.7%
-1.6%
21:30 Initial Jobless Claims
348K
335K
331K
21:30 Continuing Jobless Claims
2.991M
2.998M
2.964M
Fri 7 Feb
6:30 AiG Perf of Construction Index
50.8
 
48.2
21:30 Nonfarm Payrolls
+74K
+180K
+113K
21:30 Unemployment Rate
6.7%
6.7%
6.6%
21:30 Manufacturing Payrolls
+9K
+10K
+21K
21:30 Average Hourly Earnings[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
+0.2%
+0.2%
21:30 Average Hourly Earnings[year-on-year(YoY)]
+1.8%
+1.8%
+1.9%
Sat 8 Feb
4:00 Net Consumer Credit
$ +12.318B
$ +12.000B
$ +18.756B
Sun 9 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Mon 10 Feb
7:00 QV House Prices[year-on-year(YoY)]
+10.0%
 
+9.6%
Tue 11 Feb
8:30 House Price Index[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.9%
+3.0%
+3.4%
8:30 House Price Index[year-on-year(YoY)]
+7.6%
+8.6%
+9.3%
8:30 Home Loans[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.1%
+0.7%
-1.9%
8:30 Investment Lending[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.5%
 
+2.9%
8:30 NAB Business Conditions
+4
 
+4
8:30 NAB Business Confidence
+6
 
+8
20:30 NFIB Small Business Optimism
93.9
93.9
94.1
23:00 Wholesale Inventories[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.5%
+0.5%
+0.3%
23:00 Wholesale Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.0%
+0.7%
+0.5%
23:00 JOLTs Job Openings
4001K
3980K
3990K
Wed 12 Feb
7:30 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
103.3
 
100.2
20:00 MBA Mortgage Applications[week-over-week]
+0.4%
 
-2.0%
Thu 13 Feb
3:00 Budget Statement
$ +53.2B
$ -10.0B
$ -10.4B
5:30 Business NZ PMI
56.4
 
56.2
8:00 Consumer Inflation Expectation
+2.3%
 
+2.3%
8:30 Employed labor force
-22.6K
+15.0K
-3.7K
8:30 Unemployment Rate
5.8%
5.9%
6.0%
8:30 Participation Rate
64.6%
64.6%
64.5%
21:30 Retail Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.2%
0.0%
-0.4%
21:30 Retail Sales Ex-Auto[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.7%
+0.1%
0.0%
21:30 Initial Jobless Claims
331K
330K
339K
21:30 Continuing Jobless Claims
2.964M
2.960M
2.953M
23:00 Business Inventories[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.4%
+0.4%
+0.5%
Fri 14 Feb
5:03 REINZ Housing Price Index[month-on-month(MoM)]
-1.0%
 
-2.4%
5:03 REINZ House Sales[year-on-year(YoY)]
-1.1%
 
-4.3%
5:45 Food Prices[month-on-month(MoM)]
-0.1%
 
+1.2%
10:00 Non Resident Bond Holdings
65.1%
 
63.7%
21:30 Import price index[month-on-month(MoM)]
0.0%
-0.1%
+0.1%
21:30 Import price index[year-on-year(YoY)]
-1.3%
-1.8%
-1.5%
22:15 Industrial Production[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.3%
+0.2%
-0.3%
22:15 Capacity Utilization Ratio
79.2%
79.3%
78.5%
22:55 U. of Michigan Confidence
81.2
80.2
81.2
Sat 15 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Sun 16 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Mon 17 Feb
*** President''s Day
 
 
 
5:45 Retail Sales Ex Inflation[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+0.3%
+1.7%
+1.2%
8:30 New Motor Vehicle Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.7%
 
-3.5%
8:30 New Motor Vehicle Sales[year-on-year(YoY)]
+0.1%
 
-3.0%
Tue 18 Feb
8:30 RBA Minutes
 
 
 
16:30 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
3.2%
3.1%
21:20 Net Long-term TIC Flows
$ -29.3B
$ +22.5B
$ -45.9B
21:20 Net TIC Flows
$ -16.6B
 
$ -119.6B
21:30 Empire Manufacturing
+12.51
+8.50
+4.48
23:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
56
56
46
Wed 19 Feb
7:00 Conference Board Leading Index[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.2%
 
+0.8%
7:30 Westpac Leading Index[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
 
-0.2%
8:00 DEWR Internet Skilled Vacancies[month-on-month(MoM)]
-0.6%
 
+1.4%
8:30 Wage Cost Index[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+0.5%
+0.6%
+0.7%
8:30 Wage Cost Index[year-on-year(YoY)]
+2.7%
+2.5%
+2.6%
20:00 MBA Mortgage Applications[week-over-week]
-2.0%
 
-4.1%
21:30 Producer Price Index[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
+0.1%
+0.2%
21:30 Producer Price Index[year-on-year(YoY)]
+1.1%
+1.2%
+1.2%
21:30 PPI Output Core[month-on-month(MoM)]
0.0%
+0.1%
+0.2%
21:30 PPI Output Core[year-on-year(YoY)]
+1.2%
+1.4%
+1.3%
21:30 Housing Starts
999K
950K
880K
21:30 Housing Starts[month-on-month(MoM)]
-9.8%
-4.9%
-16.0%
21:30 Building Permits
986K
975K
937K
21:30 Building Permits[month-on-month(MoM)]
-3.0%
-1.6%
-5.4%
Thu 20 Feb
3:00 Minutes of FOMC Meeting
 
 
 
5:45 Producer Prices- Inputs[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+2.2%
 
-0.7%
5:45 Producer Prices- Outputs[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+2.4%
 
-0.4%
8:00 ANZ Consumer Confidence Index
135.8
 
133.0
21:30 Consumer Prices[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.3%
+0.1%
+0.1%
21:30 Consumer Prices[year-on-year(YoY)]
+1.5%
+1.6%
+1.6%
21:30 CPI Core[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
+0.1%
+0.1%
21:30 CPI Core[year-on-year(YoY)]
+1.7%
+1.6%
+1.6%
21:30 Initial Jobless Claims
339K
335K
336K
21:30 Continuing Jobless Claims
2.953M
2.970M
2.981M
23:00 Mortgage Delinquencies
6.41%
 
6.39%
23:00 Philadelphia Fed.
+9.4
+8.0
-6.3
23:00 Leading Indicators[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
+0.3%
+0.3%
Fri 21 Feb
16:30 Consumer Prices[year-on-year(YoY)]
+4.3%
+4.4%
+4.6%
23:00 Existing Home Sales
4.87M
4.67M
4.62M
23:00 Existing Home Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
+1.0%
-4.1%
-5.1%
Sat 22 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Sun 23 Feb
 
 
 
 
 
Mon 24 Feb
10:00 Credit Card Spending[year-on-year(YoY)]
+4.7%
 
+9.2%
21:30 Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index
+0.16
-0.20
-0.39
23:30 Dallas Fed Manf. Activity
+3.8%
+3.0%
+0.3%
Tue 25 Feb
10:00 RBNZ 2yr Inflation Expectation
+2.34%
 
+2.33%
16:30 Trade Balance
HK$ -54.4B
HK$ -35.7B
HK$ -20.0B
22:00 House Price Index[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.1%
+0.3%
+0.8%
22:00 House Price Index[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.96%
+1.00%
+1.20%
22:00 S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind
165.80
165.50
165.69
22:00 S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.88%
+0.60%
+0.76%
22:00 S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind[year-on-year(YoY)]
+13.71%
+13.40%
+13.42%
22:00 S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind
150.92
 
150.39
22:00 S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind[year-on-year(YoY)]
+11.18%
 
+11.30%
23:00 Consumer Confidence
80.7
80.0
78.1
23:00 Richmond Fed Manufact. Index
+12
+5
-6
Wed 26 Feb
11:18 Gross Domestic Product[year-on-year(YoY)]
+0.5%
+1.1%
+1.1%
11:18 Gross Domestic Product[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+2.9%
+3.0%
+3.0%
20:00 MBA Mortgage Applications[week-over-week]
-4.1%
 
-8.5%
23:00 New Home Sales
414K
400K
468K
23:00 New Home Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
-7.0%
-3.4%
+9.6%
Thu 27 Feb
5:45 Trade Balance
NZ$ +0.523B
NZ$ +0.230B
NZ$ +0.306B
8:30 Private Capital Expenditure[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+3.6%
-1.3%
-5.2%
21:30 Durable Goods Orders[month-on-month(MoM)]
-4.3%
-1.7%
-1.0%
21:30 Durables Goods Orders Ex Transportation[month-on-month(MoM)]
-1.6%
-0.3%
+1.1%
21:30 Initial Jobless Claims
336K
335K
348K
21:30 Continuing Jobless Claims
2.981M
2.985M
2.964M
22:00 NAPM-Milwaukee
52.82
51.00
48.59
Fri 28 Feb
0:00 Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity
+5
+2
+4
5:45 Building Permits[month-on-month(MoM)]
+7.6%
-3.5%
-8.3%
8:00 ANZ Business Conditions
64.1
 
70.8
8:30 Private Sector Credit[month-on-month(MoM)]
+0.5%
+0.5%
+0.4%
8:30 Private Sector Credit[year-on-year(YoY)]
+3.9%
+4.1%
+4.1%
10:00 M3 Money Supply[year-on-year(YoY)]
+5.8%
 
+7.0%
16:40 M3 Money Supply[year-on-year(YoY)]
+5.7%
 
+2.4%
21:30 Gross Domestic Product[quarter on quarter annualized rate]
+3.2%
+2.5%
+2.4%
21:30 Personal Consumption[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+3.3%
+2.9%
+2.6%
21:30 GDP Price Index[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.3%
+1.3%
+1.6%
21:30 PCE Core[quarter-on-quarter (QoQ)]
+1.1%
+1.1%
+1.3%
22:45 Chicago Purchasing Manager
59.6
56.4
59.8
22:55 U. of Michigan Confidence
81.2
81.2
81.6
23:00 Pending Home Sales[month-on-month(MoM)]
-8.7%
+1.8%
+0.1%
23:00 Pending Home Sales[year-on-year(YoY)]
-6.1%
-10.8%
-9.1%